Trends and insights

Commerce of tomorrow, today

Trust and transparency will power the future of AI-driven commerce experiences
03/11/2025

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Commerce touches the daily lives of billions of people worldwide, and its future is too complex to predict precisely. However, as we look ahead, Visa, in partnership with the Institute for the Future, the world's longest-running futures research organization, examined four major trends that are likely to reshape how people buy and sell in ways even more significant than the digital revolution of the past two decades, in its new report: Commerce of Tomorrow, Today.

The Commerce of Tomorrow, Today report doesn't predict what will happen. Instead, it explores possible futures that merchants, banks, and consumers may face in the next ten years, and beyond. These possibilities are based on trends we see today — from new technologies to changing consumer behavior.

Each chapter in this report describes a potential future scenario. Explore the first two chapters now and check back to learn more about the final two.

"The future is here, and we’re ready. As we stand at the forefront of gen AI innovation, Visa remains committed to embedding trust and transparency into everything we do."

Headshot of Rajat Taneja.
Rajat Taneja, President, Technology, Visa

1. The trust principle

The advent of artificial intelligence (AI) is expected to be a significant moment for the trust that customers and communities place in various institutions, including banks and financial companies, as well as governments, businesses, and media. The thoughtful and transparent use of AI to benefit consumer interests has the potential to establish new levels of trust with customers, creating relationships that are more personal and integrated into people's lives than before. Conversely, the application of AI in less considerate or coherent ways may decrease trust, as customers and businesses navigate a complex and uncertain environment.

Developing trust and transparency consistently and for the long term is crucial to managing short-term disruptions.

Roles of advanced trust networks

With these protections in place, trust networks will help everyone feel confident about using AI for their daily financial tasks, knowing their money and identity are safe:

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Watch dogs

Trust networks will make sure everyone is who they claim to be and constantly watch for anything that seems out of place, like someone pretending to be you.

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Safety nets

Trust networks will watch out for AI systems that discriminate against certain people or break rules. When AI makes mistakes, the trust networks will catch and fix them before anyone gets hurt.

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Digital bodyguards

Trust networks will keep money transfers secure, even as hackers get better tools. As new technologies like quantum computers arrive, these networks will use advanced security methods to stay one step ahead of criminals.

"Even though the future is too complex to predict precisely, we examined long-term trends, early signals of change and future scenarios designed to challenge current assumptions and help think differently about what's ahead. With the prevalence of AI, the future is here."

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Dylan Hendricks, Director, Institute for the Future

2. AI agent: Reporting for duty

AI agents, like a personalized chatbot, will soon become more common, transforming how people interact with commerce. Consumers may have access to personalized, online assistants providing real-time guidance and strategies.

Unlike today's tech, these AI assistants won't just come from big companies. They'll be widely available in many forms, creating a network of digital helpers around every transaction:

While AI agents are improving rapidly and becoming cheaper, this will lead to a period where numerous AI agents from various companies compete to assist customer’s decision-making. The future requires trustworthy platforms where customers can confidently interact with AI agents that protect their privacy, security, and assets.
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Shaping the future

Explore major trends poised to revolutionize shopping and business behavior worldwide in Commerce of Tomorrow, Today

Report cover with human face looking at a digital replica and block graphics Report cover with human face looking at a digital replica and block graphics